As 2022 comes to a close and we sit back to reflect on the ups and downs of this year’s housing market, we can’t help but wonder what’s in store for 2023. According to several articles and predictions we’ve browsed, 2023 could be tough for both buyers and sellers.
A recent article posted on Bankrate notes that 2023 will be a transitional year with several factors creating uncertainty. The article looks at each of these factors in depth, calling on industry experts for their predictions. We’ve summarized here, but the full article is worth a read.
Mortgage and Interest Rates
With continued inflation, many experts believe rates will continue to rise for some, if not all, of 2023. The experts cited in the article all see interest rates in the 8 percent range at some time during the year. However, predictions are mixed on whether they remain there or stabilize toward the end of the year.
The consensus here is that the market will cool down. Higher interest rates will lead to a drop in home sales. Experts also believe that average days on the market will increase in 2023, as buyers are more hesitant to jump into a purchase situation.
Experts are split on where home values will land in 2023. Some believe home values will remain steady due to low inventory; while others suggest that home values could see a decline based on higher rates and more patient buyers.
Buyer’s or Seller’s Market
We’ve been in a steady seller’s market for the past few years, and many experts see this shifting slightly. One expert notes it will vary nationally, however. Markets with more demand could continue to favor the seller. That said another expert believes the sides may be on more even terms overall in the year ahead.
Low inventory has fueled the housing frenzy over the past few years. Experts believe this will not change; mainly due to the fact that homeowners won’t be willing to trade in their low interest rate mortgages for a higher rate loan. However, there are some that believe housing inventory could increase based on demand throughout the year.
Experts do agree that home prices will not waiver significantly. We may see prices lower slightly, but any shift in prices will be cancelled out by rising interest rates. Some experts believe that in certain cases this could make homes seem even less affordable due to high interest rates and the amount they add to a monthly payment.
As with any forecast, no one can predict the future. We can only wait and see how the year unfolds, and remember that local experts and agents can provide the best insight into the market in your area. They are the best resource if you are looking to buy or sell in 2023.
For a deeper dive into the housing market in 2023 and these topics, you’ll also want to look at Realtor.com’s predictions.